The New Silk Road: Is China Winning the 21st Century?

A leading scholar explains how China’s Belt and Road Initiative is reshaping global connectivity, development models, and geopolitical influence beyond the West.

A detailed discussion on China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) unfolded on New Wave History as Professor Hassan H. Karrar of LUMS offered a nuanced assessment of China’s global connectivity project and its implications for Asia, Africa, and beyond. Framing the BRI not as a single policy but as a long-term investment mechanism, Karrar described it as one of the most ambitious efforts at economic and infrastructural integration in modern history. The podcast has 3 parts, only part 1 has released yet. Below is the brief of what has been discussed in part 1.

According to Karrar, the BRI, launched in 2013 under President Xi Jinping, places China at the centre of a vast network of economic corridors spanning nearly 100 countries. While often portrayed as a revival of the ancient Silk Road, he stressed that the comparison is largely symbolic. The historical Silk Road, he explained, was never a physical road but a loose web of human movement through which goods, religions, and ideas travelled across Eurasia. By contrast, the BRI is built on “hard infrastructure”: ports, railways, power plants, digital networks, and logistics systems funded and constructed largely by Chinese capital.

Karrar argued that China’s rise as a major exporter of foreign direct investment after the 2008 financial crisis made the BRI possible. Where Western investment retreated, China stepped forward, financing projects at a scale few others could match. This, he noted, has significantly enhanced China’s global standing, positioning Beijing as the world’s foremost actor in large-scale infrastructure development.

The discussion also examined the ideological dimensions of the BRI. While China does not explicitly export a political system, ideas associated with the Chinese development model, such as infrastructure-led growth and rapid poverty reduction, have gained traction in many recipient countries, including Pakistan and several African states. However, Karrar cautioned against simplistic conclusions, emphasising that development paths are shaped by local choices rather than imposed templates.

Addressing criticisms that liken the BRI to a new form of imperialism, Karrar rejected comparisons with European colonial enterprises such as the East India Company. China, he argued, lacks the historical and political conditions of empire, though he acknowledged legitimate concerns about environmental impact, land use, and community displacement in host countries.

Looking ahead, Karrar suggested that the BRI’s most enduring impact may lie in reshaping global perceptions of China. Beyond roads and railways, the initiative has amplified China’s soft power, particularly across the Global South. While challenges remain, he concluded that the BRI represents a gradual but significant reordering of global connectivity in the twenty-first century.

New Wave History is an educational initiative that seeks to make understanding history easier. It aims to achieve this by fostering a critical perspective on our collective history, and making the main ideas in key historical texts accessible to all, offering explanations and connections that make the past come alive. New Wave History hopes to transform the way people engage with history, by bridging the gap between the academic study of history and our audience. We aim to inspire critical thought and spark curiosity, and fostering a deeper understanding of the events that have shaped our nation and region. New Wave History works in collaboration with New Wave Global, Naya Daur Media, The Friday Times, SAPAN News Network, and other media, research outfits, academic institutions, and civil society groups in South Asia and the United States.