The Ummah Has Ditched Pakistan On Kashmir, The Region Is Moving To Conflict
Talking about the response of Gulf States to the latest developments in Indian-Held Kashmir, senior analyst Najam Sethi said they had deep economic relationship with India and thus did not support Pakistan on the issue.
In his YouTube programme, Sethi mentioned the UAE ambassador’s statement in which he had described the revocation of Article 370 an internal matter of India.
Similarly, Saudi Arabia too urged the two countries to resolve the matter through bilateral talks, while the OIC in a short statement called for addressing the matter through the UN Charter – not the UN Security Council resolutions – and Indo-Pak dialogue.
Sethi also shared the details of economic inter-dependence – total trade volume $100 billion – between the Gulf States and India.
There are seven million Indians in the Gulf States, while the Indian nationals have invested $66 billion dollars in the UAE only. One the other hand, the UAE has an annual trade of $50 billion with India. Moreover, there are three Indians for an Emirati in the UAE.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is planning to invest $100 billion in India and earning $27 billion every year through oil exports to the country.
The Saudi oil company, ARAMCO, has recently invested $15 billion in the biggest Indian oil refinery. And there are 2.7 million Indians working in different sectors of the Kingdom’s economy.
About the US, Sethi said the Americans too have asked Islamabad to tackle the matter through direct talks and not to link Afghanistan with Kashmir.
About the closed door meeting of the UN Security Council, Sethi said no statement was issued after the huddle during which everyone accepted that Kashmir was a flashpoint where human rights violations; however, it was listed as a bilateral issue.
About India future course of action, the respected political analyst predicted that New Delhi will follow the Israeli model – changing the demography in Occupied Kashmir; however, it won’t succeed just like the Israelis’ failure to calm down everything in Palestine.
However, the BJP government’s move has created serious challenges for India which has been claiming to be the world’s largest democracy and a pluralistic country. But the world is now feeling the fact that India is on the path of majoritarianism.
According to Sethi, the Kashmiris will face more repression amid vast support enjoyed by the Hindu nationalist government for the move. However, the attempts to develop a nation through Hindu majoritarianism will fail in the long run, just the efforts in Pakistan to make an Islamic state.
But one thing is clear: these developments are proving the Two Nation Theory right. The BJP is having a dangerous experiment and the Indians would soon realise that “we have bitten more than we can chew” amid the rising fascism.
Sethi also pointed out the internal conflicts in India – from Nagaland to Tamil Nadu and said depriving the IHK of autonomy has seriously damaged the federalism, as there is feeling that the other states too would experience this majoritarianism in one form or the other.
Amid the repression, Sethi said, the 200 million Muslims in India would be attracted by extremism, resulting in an increase in terrorism. At that point, it will become an international issue, he opined.
In this scenario, the threat of an armed conflict – including nuclear – between Pakistan and India will also increase, which would be devastating not only for the two countries but also for the region and the entire world.
Naya Daur Media (NDM) is a bi-lingual progressive digital media platform aiming to inform and educate Pakistanis at home and abroad.